Fifa International · resolved market
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99bce1f5b53b324bdc8a70e613f57f9bfcd44fdaa1a8f7e973316c5ba9ecd530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,115$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 2,691$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Under | 51c | 2,545$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.98 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 67c | 1,933$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 1,906$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,791$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.9 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 1,662$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 65c | 1,120$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 732.06$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.5 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 27c | 653.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.03 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 70c | 637.27$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.46 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 72c | 599.95$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 53c | 548.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 63c | 547$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 54c | 530.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…b2acbacked Under | 42c | 436.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 33c | 396.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 312.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 300.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 297.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 72c | 151.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 72c | 136.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…6f72backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Under | 16c | 110.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Over | 64c | 92.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 72c | 92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 72c | 89.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 87.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 87.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 65.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 62c | 65.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 25c | 60.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 70c | 47.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 29c | 45.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Under | 71c | 35.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Over | 43c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 24.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 66c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 59c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 74c | 21.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Under | 71c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 73c | 15.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…a929backed Over | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5this page
- Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Italy won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Italy won
- Spread: Italy (-1.5)Greece won
- Spread: Italy (-2.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.