Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4215565158322413e80924bf1187597cb7bb08d469ac4b0765ffe6b3b0d8f066

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	47c	6,385$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	43c	3,835$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	2,334$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.02	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	2,061$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.54	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	53c	1,493$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.5	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	53c	1,181$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.04	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325b…4466backed Over	50c	969$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	54c	927.87$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.82	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	44c	848.67$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.41	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf93…0d84backed Under	42c	776.38$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.3	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under	53c	716.88$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.88	108	63%68 W · 40 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	51c	699.94$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.97	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	53c	674.66$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.38	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under	47c	671.89$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.11	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	48c	667.96$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.35	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under	55c	662.45$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.1	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	50c	481.64$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.82	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	42c	410.08$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.05	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under	55c	404.73$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.13	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked Under	63c	396.83$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.83	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over	46c	380.76$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.15	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under	53c	344.04$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.7	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over	42c	335$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.65	115	20%23 W · 92 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over	47c	319.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	53c	302$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.3	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	53c	285.85$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.55	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	50c	274.72$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.36	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over	42c	245.45$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.09	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under	51c	245.1$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.1	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	37c	239.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	46c	237.95$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.25	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	27.3%30 W · 80 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	52c	227$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.48	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	47c	213.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	46c	213.04$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	151	43%65 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	141	46.1%65 W · 76 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Under	57c	191.32$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.28	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under	54c	185.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.33	125	44%55 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	53c	171$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.63	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	54c	162.96$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.96	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over	47c	156$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Under	66c	148.82$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under	54c	121.48$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.88	135	48.1%65 W · 70 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15c3…17a7backed Over	46c	107.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	47c	107$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	46c	99.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over	47c	82.96$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over	46c	73$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	38c	69.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	27c	66.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…f7a7backed Over	47c	64.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under	55c	64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	43c	60.47$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	47c	59.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	46c	58.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Under	53c	56.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.43	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	129	53.5%69 W · 60 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x516f…4a62backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under	55c	52.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over	61c	52$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under	51c	50.81$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.9	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	47c	50.7$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	300	40.3%121 W · 179 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Over	47c	47.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under	53c	47.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.31	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	48c	43.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	363	29.8%108 W · 255 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc2…56a9backed Under	39c	35.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	37c	32.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	50c	30.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5060…c607backed Over	47c	27.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	50c	26.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Under	42c	26.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.21	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over	49c	26.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	63c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c2…aa6cbacked Over	48c	24.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d11…03aebacked Under	54c	21.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	52c	20.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.69	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	61c	16.73$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.53	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5this page
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 0.5Over won
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Under won
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5Under won
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Greece (-1.5)Italy won
Spread: Greece (-2.5)Italy won
Spread: Italy (-1.5)Greece won
Spread: Italy (-2.5)Greece won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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