Fifa International · resolved market
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcea5579717c07987e2b8fa6cf0e3b88a49659952189520353cba678b2fb0cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,895$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Yes | 54c | 1,866$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 1,384$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.86 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 46c | 1,371$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 973.31$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.64 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 965$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 54c | 925.54$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 795.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Yes | 54c | 687.76$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 572.24$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.29 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 55c | 543.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 476.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 417.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 395.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 56c | 356.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 347$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 54c | 248.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 241.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 47c | 232.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed No | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…a767backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…9c1ebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 165$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 55c | 160.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 44c | 154.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…f7a7backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 47c | 117.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 48c | 101.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 53c | 97.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 55c | 91.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 79.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 60.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 56.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 55.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 47c | 50.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked No | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…7616backed Yes | 54c | 35.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 46c | 33.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 46c | 33.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 46c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 55c | 32.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…f9d6backed Yes | 53c | 26.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 54c | 22.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…e023backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…60babacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Greece vs. Italy: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Italy won
- Spread: Greece (-2.5)Italy won
- Spread: Italy (-1.5)Greece won
- Spread: Italy (-2.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.