Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb44a6c12698cdb62aa79c6a58626333d80a60257517363cb3731eedfbd068a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 3,871$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.6 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 64c | 3,657$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.37 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,202$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 773.06$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 74c | 739.04$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 694.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 56c | 546.86$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 439.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 29c | 302.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 49c | 198.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 186.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 152.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 35c | 151.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 147.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 66c | 110.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 108$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 34c | 105.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 97.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 36c | 84.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 78.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 63c | 53.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 65c | 45.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 61c | 42.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 51c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.