Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac882ef985a235e6dfc2833e714d7962b8b7acb661b346b423377fc8df70b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 38c | 3,421$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,076$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,375$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 62c | 1,261$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.12 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 61c | 663.17$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 498.76$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 41c | 470.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 435.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 387.46$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 348.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 288.12$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 205.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 147.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 36c | 136.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 99.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 63c | 96.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 63c | 93.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 37c | 81.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 39c | 50.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 63c | 49.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 64c | 49.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 60c | 48.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 47.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 41c | 45.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 42.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 36c | 36.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 34.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 63c | 23.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 61c | 23.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.