Champions League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f350c183cfccb6ac8a90dac0517c3f55ff008b80f9c39224be56e4023a346a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 26c | 9,362$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.15 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 6,361$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.56 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 77c | 1,117$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 75c | 808$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 71c | 767.69$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 80c | 594.39$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 60c | 361.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 304.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 33c | 296.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 65c | 221.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 33c | 172.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 66c | 161$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 158.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…56aebacked Under | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 67c | 96.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…1683backed Under | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…f8dcbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 66c | 46.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 37c | 38.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 33c | 33.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…99adbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…865cbacked Under | 67c | 29.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 71c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.