South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f64cab7bacecdc9b6d9ba984d01ed918661bb9807cc557f65b56065ba052077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,873$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,009$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Over | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 761.01$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 722.84$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 37c | 588.27$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.65 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Under | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 304.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 283.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 25c | 260.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 189.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 183.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 23c | 143.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 24c | 89.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 68c | 72.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 53c | 71.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 55c | 65.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Over | 29c | 59.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 25c | 57.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 53.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 63c | 47.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 63c | 42.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 41.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 40.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.