Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d1b0efbce74dd1bb061d9b5d440a74ee9b958f623e6c4e5bdc496e0b5982a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 1,044$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.85 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 810.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 788.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 457.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 52.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 38.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 26.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…fa28backed Over | 45c | 25.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 55c | 25.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb8…8b8cbacked Under | 55c | 24.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5this page
- NEC vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.