Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6c3fc17866ac5de4884d80578880346344d3ed042a221678f6a038ba5e7532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 8c | 60,131$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.48 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 30,409$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.59 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 30,348$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 8c | 19,920$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.6 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 5c | 13,179$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 0c | 12,163$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 0c | 11,333$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 8c | 8,021$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.65 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 6c | 6,313$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 5,694$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.46 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 2c | 3,840$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,306$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,722$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 1,548$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 2c | 1,482$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…2c6dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…b971backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 869.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 8c | 799.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 7c | 723.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…71a1backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 6c | 705$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 9c | 569.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 6c | 549$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 5c | 496.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 8c | 475$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Yes | 7c | 464.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 9c | 459.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…fe1cbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 8c | 295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 8c | 249$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 7c | 194.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…f74fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b7…ef35backed Yes | 6c | 185$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…174fbacked Yes | 8c | 180.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…2b92backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?this page
- Will Nigeria vs. Mozambique end in a draw?No won
- Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.