South American Leagues · resolved market
Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c278bf3153ac6d442ccc7680af0fb62f9e545d7e693cd8f3d7198590913a4a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 78c | 2,817$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 2,086$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.35 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 1,143$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.45 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 13c | 1,016$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 78c | 609.77$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…4afabacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Over | 78c | 84.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 70.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 29c | 52.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 22c | 47.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 71c | 34.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 77c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 77c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Mazatlán FC won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Mazatlán FC won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.