South American Leagues · resolved market
Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1e824456ce0f38ab7e5483073fac6ded86138b4866dbc958570f922b50231c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,602 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Over | 55c | 10,534$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.23 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 9,404$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 5,785$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.38 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 4,106$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.94 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 55c | 1,913$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.03 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 48c | 864$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 721.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8925backed Under | 47c | 616.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 389$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 358$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 56c | 222.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Over | 53c | 215.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 46c | 209.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Over | 53c | 203.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Over | 53c | 197.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 25c | 174.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 124.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 74.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 53c | 67.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 46c | 65.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 53.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…f6ddbacked Over | 54c | 43.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 48c | 38.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 38.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 69c | 34.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…5edebacked Under | 48c | 33.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…4f80backed Under | 49c | 26.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 45c | 26.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2403…e37fbacked Under | 48c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 45c | 24.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Under | 50c | 23.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Mazatlán FC won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Mazatlán FC won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.