TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c10,047$5,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,747.6134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over65c6,105$3,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.3632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under76c4,597$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under35c3,062$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.334247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under64c1,862$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c1,600$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c1,492$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over23c1,323$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.817763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over64c936$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.962842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over20c782.04$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.9812350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c694.38$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8130828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over30c668.09$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.972770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under39c506.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under39c506.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over34c499.95$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9718923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c496.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6922545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under37c484.36$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over35c420$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+99.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c340.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.339354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over66c335.7$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over66c335.7$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over65c301.11$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.392759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under36c267.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.446861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under72c258.07$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over23c206.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.792744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Over32c199.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under6c175$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c169.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c166.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over23c128.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c109.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8831958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over43c98.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.353655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c96.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over28c87.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Under36c83.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ee0…4078backed Under76c78.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over39c76.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c74.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over31c74.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over31c74.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over39c74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.213545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c72.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0419042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.157552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972552%13 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over30c64.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8618055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over60c63.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under54c59.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.382360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over36c59.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.273557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over23c53.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.033161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over41c50.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.836155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick69cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under63c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.542025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over30c41.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.277964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under36c39.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over66c38.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.093571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over38c37.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.249045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under60c36.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.717045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9423345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under40c33.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over64c29.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over65c23.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.072272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc54a…5a08backed Under72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under66c17.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.