Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629e5e6c3d8c0fc0a81887b124dcb4ba0c40ac47980d926132f381a0e974e666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSC Napoliof SSC Napoli, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SSC Napoli | 20c | 3,674$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.22 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed SSC Napoli | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked SSC Napoli | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SSC Napoli | 10c | 1,348$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.4 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SSC Napoli | 22c | 1,241$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.75 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Genoa CFC | 78c | 1,180$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked SSC Napoli | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SSC Napoli | 8c | 903.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.7 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SSC Napoli | 25c | 752$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed SSC Napoli | 22c | 633.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.43 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Genoa CFC | 80c | 541$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed SSC Napoli | 22c | 435.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.37 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked SSC Napoli | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Genoa CFC | 71c | 320.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked SSC Napoli | 27c | 149.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Genoa CFC | 79c | 127.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Genoa CFC | 79c | 124$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked SSC Napoli | 21c | 114.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed SSC Napoli | 21c | 114.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Genoa CFC | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSC Napoli | 11c | 98.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Genoa CFC | 74c | 46.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SSC Napoli | 26c | 46.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Genoa CFC | 76c | 39.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Genoa CFC | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Genoa CFC | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Genoa CFC | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Genoa CFC | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Genoa CFC | 73c | 14.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Genoa CFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.