Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6dee17c5266b04e0465d57190a0e204123c80373c492234e4fe4b6b150e098c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 21c | 8,978$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 44c | 3,494$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 3,267$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 66c | 2,022$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.71 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 1,758$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 1,730$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 4c | 1,410$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 1,030$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.07 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 76c | 1,003$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 4c | 966.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 4c | 737$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 44c | 688.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 15c | 648.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 494.84$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.21 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 425.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Under | 17c | 388.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Over | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 263.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 41c | 244.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 73c | 215.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 75c | 147.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 79c | 121.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 31c | 117.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 69c | 109$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 102.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Over | 47c | 102.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 15c | 88.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 60c | 79.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 33c | 60.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 33c | 59.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 42c | 48.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 39.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 39.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Over | 44c | 34.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 46c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Over | 66c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 71c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 71c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 72c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Genoa CFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.