Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa481879102a5d416e2514bc96d8187f02df5b383758ce12c6df30ec660cdc0ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8853…c058backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 9,947$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.32 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,848$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 4,568$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 1,563$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.48 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 1,083$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 1,040$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 1,011$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.1 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 995$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 9c | 633.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 628.95$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.23 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 54c | 542.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 233$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 215$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 9c | 137.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes | 45c | 133.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Yes | 46c | 118.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 97.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Yes | 46c | 96.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 14c | 71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 65.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…2eb4backed Yes | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 45.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 33c | 43.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 55c | 39.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 56c | 37.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 37.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 45c | 37.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 44c | 34.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Genoa CFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.