Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73255a566374fcf8ead2784d55df0069a48f0258a11eea4d72a694abb2a4de2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 263.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 137.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 41c | 137.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…f823backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Under | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Over | 38c | 91.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 39c | 54.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 54.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 52.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 38c | 38.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Genoa CFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.