Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c729baa6ac78bbd8609610388e7225addee342e8e8a65ad2e1a2967208ab778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 12,264$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.99 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 27c | 10,004$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 19c | 5,926$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 5,117$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.15 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 63c | 3,136$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.32 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 62c | 3,011$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 2,802$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.6 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 2,010$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.63 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 1,756$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.16 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 64c | 1,650$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.65 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 1,549$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.39 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 1,416$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.67 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 40c | 1,405$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 992.8$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 64c | 675$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 11c | 582.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 40c | 425.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 37c | 372.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 11c | 359.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 63c | 338.3$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 63c | 312$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 212.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 9c | 207.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…767fbacked Over | 38c | 189.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 186$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 40c | 182.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 13c | 173.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 143.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 110.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 63c | 108.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 99.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 38c | 93.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 61c | 84.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 69.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 39c | 50.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 63c | 48.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 36c | 39.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 42c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 59c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 57c | 17.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Genoa CFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.