Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x445938ec8d49b3a9796be28f0309b0ea65053f20ca58312980073fc53b95605e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,475$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 2,763$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.17 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 50c | 1,656$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 920.38$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.91 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 23c | 764.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 72c | 682.38$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 682.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 59c | 669.63$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 54c | 665.13$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 46c | 658.3$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 476.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 27c | 433.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 32c | 383.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 46c | 361.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 287.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 283.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 30c | 215.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 199.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 42c | 163.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 162.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 131.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 48c | 122.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 122.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 62c | 106.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 56c | 101.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 95.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 92.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 61c | 87.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 40c | 85.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 69c | 71.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 41c | 64.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 48c | 62.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 52c | 58.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 55.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 51.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…679cbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 43.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…67c1backed Over | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 32c | 39.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…6cf5backed Under | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…be54backed Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 32.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 56c | 28.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…3340backed Over | 56c | 27.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 43c | 25.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 54c | 24.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 22.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…ab51backed Under | 72c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Over | 69c | 21.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New England Revolution won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.