Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c92f9ae88e62118556d5fb795e564f1d3c01ae7370099d25fe67c57168f2f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Over | 70c | 11,200$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 5,028$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.54 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 4,175$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 3,003$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.94 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 30c | 2,511$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 63c | 2,503$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 2,077$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.95 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 60c | 1,363$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.54 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 30c | 1,355$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.07 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 61c | 945.11$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 42c | 688.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 29c | 483.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 346.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 12c | 340.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 52c | 261.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 60c | 175.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 19c | 163.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 60c | 162.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 30c | 153.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 13c | 139.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 23c | 111.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 73c | 82.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 80.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 70.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Under | 30c | 61.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…0490backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 35c | 58.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Under | 30c | 51.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 33c | 45.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 44.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 45c | 33.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 38c | 32.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 59c | 27.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Over | 77c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)New England Revolution won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.