La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7201bf1d1eb84e7d9e837b52175e0f0417445ec6ea47cafaf46f960551bfd2b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 20c | 9,842$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.34 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 8,576$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…56dfbacked Yes | 27c | 3,482$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,408$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.06 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,927$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.13 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked No | 60c | 1,621$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.02 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,354$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.68 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.93 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 60c | 983.86$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.54 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 932.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 839.55$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 575.57$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 29c | 485.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 59c | 424.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 60c | 208.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 37c | 194.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 41c | 190.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 190.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 43c | 156.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 75c | 156$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…da52backed Yes | 27c | 142.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 34c | 141.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 137.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 135.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 126.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 39c | 125.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 40c | 120.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…340bbacked No | 59c | 107.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 44c | 97.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 40c | 89.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 87.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 85.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 77.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 71.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 63.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 55.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 71c | 50.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 48.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Yes | 41c | 42.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 59c | 41.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed No | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 71c | 38.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 60c | 35.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 66c | 33.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 40c | 31.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 39c | 31.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 63c | 31.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f4…8d0fbacked Yes | 41c | 30.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 29.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…4defbacked Yes | 41c | 29.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 41c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…ec05backed No | 60c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…e6ebbacked Yes | 41c | 25.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked No | 69c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked No | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 64c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 64c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 61c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.