La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee066629bf66bb9b24557b70550089ddcea96bd6ccfe3ad7e39084c52a8dff9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 7,261$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 71c | 4,944$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 1,692$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.61 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 17c | 951.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 719.01$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 615.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 527.05$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 22c | 513.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 479.78$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 416.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 174$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 171.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 66c | 156.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 153.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 150.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 139.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 36c | 139.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 125.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 25c | 119.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 109.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 69c | 100.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 71c | 89.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed No | 55c | 88.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 63.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 30c | 55.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 69c | 50.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…4190backed Yes | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 29c | 46.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 34c | 41.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 42c | 38.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 68c | 36.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 39c | 32.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Yes | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…92f2backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 46c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 45c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 42c | 26.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 56c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 19.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.