TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under46c169,951$78,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,858.1615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over54c61,504$33,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,351.0347748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c17,000$9,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1808845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over53c16,381$8,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,628.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over54c16,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6402965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Under45c14,184$6,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,801.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c13,166$7,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,114.363,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c8,400$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,53815341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over54c5,886$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c5,559$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.6126345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over54c5,356$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8922941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c5,322$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,873.8812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over55c4,956$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.8525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Over54c4,580$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under48c3,132$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.843450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over54c3,061$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.9420648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over55c2,544$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.982133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over54c1,853$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over54c1,811$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9781421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under47c1,804$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.0728851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c1,756$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.7682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under54c1,453$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.693663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over55c1,173$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.6913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over54c945$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.32250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over54c937.69$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.472665.4%17 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+92.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over57c888$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.162133.3%7 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c859.76$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over54c763.93$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.183253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over56c708.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c692.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over37c680.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over55c638.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over54c366.65$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c356.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over55c344$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.044045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c322.9$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over61c299.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over74c269.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c219.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.751723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under47c210.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.554860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.68446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c159.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.646156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over54c156.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…a59cbacked Under46c150.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c129.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.881,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under49c114.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4910046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under46c109.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over56c106.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over54c106.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.519740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over45c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over58c86.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506439.1%25 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1edc…b1e8backed Over36c84.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over54c76.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over58c68.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c63.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1913950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c49.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5625934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over53c41.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.185250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed Under47c41.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c35.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.055251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over56c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Over54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over65c28.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.46per pick59cpaid-79.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Under78c26.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over54c26.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f88…293bbacked Over55c25.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…ba08backed Over43c25.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc09…fe55backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Over54c23.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Under70c19.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.