South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eba3902cf8f5f87d67be2ddba11334be61ee1759c524fedcb483a910ac59778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.76 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 40c | 3,217$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.79 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,669$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.74 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 2,507$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 58c | 2,385$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.81 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 40c | 1,813$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 1,626$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 734.4$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 663.82$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 60c | 351$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 11c | 320.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 48c | 313$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 243.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed No | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked No | 41c | 161.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 57c | 159.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 64c | 157.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 134.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 48c | 120.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 118.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 9c | 111.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed No | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 71c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Yes | 57c | 73.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…d971backed Yes | 71c | 41.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 62c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.