Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Heather Watson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5647f13fad5a173b008973ee5dcdaf3c2e90f2d892e75c115dbf697e60dc8ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Watsonof Parry, Watson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Watson | 71c | 8,678$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Parry | 56c | 5,964$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.04 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Parry | 36c | 3,225$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Watson | 51c | 1,849$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.46 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Parry | 44c | 1,405$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.37 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Parry | 65c | 1,142$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Watson | 44c | 975$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Parry | 55c | 885.48$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Parry | 25c | 515.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Watson | 57c | 503.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Parry | 35c | 495.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Parry | 61c | 489.57$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.52 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Parry | 72c | 443.52$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Parry | 29c | 404.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Parry | 24c | 397.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Watson | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Parry | 52c | 380.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Watson | 23c | 297$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Parry | 59c | 289.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Parry | 71c | 282.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Watson | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Parry | 77c | 254$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Parry | 79c | 253.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Parry | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Parry | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Watson | 21c | 194.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Parry | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Watson | 45c | 142$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Parry | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Watson | 44c | 136.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Parry | 29c | 129$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Watson | 52c | 128.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Parry | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Parry | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Parry | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Watson | 21c | 91.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Watson | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Watson | 23c | 59.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Watson | 77c | 56.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Watson | 35c | 55.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Watson | 57c | 43.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Watson | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Watson | 73c | 38.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Parry | 77c | 35.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Parry | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Watson | 73c | 32.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Parry | 78c | 31.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Parry | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Parry | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Parry | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Parry | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Parry | 77c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.