South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1c0495439df7e2cfae387a4dc3e8c18d43b6493a21876d9f1eb9ef83087c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 52c | 9,406$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 5,193$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 80c | 3,550$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 64c | 2,333$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.56 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,333$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.13 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 2,142$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 1,382$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.62 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 1,024$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.55 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 900.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.59 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 25c | 752.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.9 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 597.19$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 573.24$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 507.71$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.31 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 419.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad7…acc5backed Yes | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 75c | 307.09$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 305.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 247$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 45c | 220.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 211.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…9ca6backed No | 75c | 197.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked No | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 67c | 171.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 47c | 160.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 151$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 142.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 139.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 138.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 53c | 136$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 121.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…fa6bbacked No | 75c | 106.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…714ebacked Yes | 25c | 100.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 96.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 33c | 77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed No | 45c | 68.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Yes | 27c | 53.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 51.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 50.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 59c | 50.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 38c | 44.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked No | 72c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 79c | 40.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked No | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 41c | 37.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 40c | 35.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 52c | 28.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 27.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 43c | 25.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.