Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Titans (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23b31bbb3892749e52d903a0d90a47dc707aec41f6acc5cff4070e8f0003d783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Detroit Titans, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Panthers | 56c | 35,683$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,982.41 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Detroit Titans | 44c | 27,227$11,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,247.27 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Titans | 44c | 4,266$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Detroit Titans | 46c | 1,660$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.47 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Detroit Titans | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.91 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Titans | 44c | 814.97$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 431$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 55c | 246.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Detroit Titans | 45c | 198.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Detroit Titans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Detroit Titans | 45c | 40.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Milwaukee Panthers | 55c | 35.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Detroit Titans | 45c | 27.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Milwaukee Panthers | 54c | 24.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 23.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Detroit Titans | 44c | 23.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Milwaukee Panthers | 54c | 22.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Milwaukee Panthers | 54c | 22.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 54c | 22.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit TitansDetroit Titans won
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-2.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.