NHL · resolved market
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Charlotte Checkers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x328cdf1771bb5f3cb9a2d9c124afe4652a7f7e7ce764a0766a09ccae39a46f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hartford Wolf Packof Hartford Wolf Pack, Charlotte Checkers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 38c | 667.85$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 593.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 567.67$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 278.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 205.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Charlotte Checkers | 62c | 194.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Charlotte Checkers | 62c | 193.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Charlotte Checkers | 62c | 192.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 159.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 154.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 150.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 147.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1ab8backed Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 139.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 112.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Charlotte Checkers | 62c | 87.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Charlotte Checkers | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Charlotte Checkers | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 41.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 62c | 28.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Charlotte Checkers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.