Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f95c61855e16d32911b45766662b8278e62e0c48c9eab66158ed4867a98887f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,354 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 9,039$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 59c | 1,542$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.87 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 1,237$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 929.46$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.79 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 54c | 920$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.69 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 35c | 881.72$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.08 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 634.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 552.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 421$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.02 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 345.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Under | 42c | 279.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 276.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 60c | 251.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 47c | 236.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 216.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 26c | 191.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 45c | 163.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…fd2dbacked Over | 60c | 123.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…073fbacked Over | 42c | 121.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 59c | 111.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 55c | 111.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 100.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Over | 58c | 97.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Over | 58c | 91.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Over | 58c | 90.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 41c | 81.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 25c | 80.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 70.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 64.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 41c | 59.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 50c | 53.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 60c | 45.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 56c | 34.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 48c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 42c | 26.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…91d6backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…690abacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.