Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc3dc56ffc271222fcfa056e326557389c0526c8cc05fe88ca96aec09f1a739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 71c | 2,680$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.2 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 34c | 1,018$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.16 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 759.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…1d91backed Over | 35c | 421$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 396.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2300…d3ecbacked Over | 35c | 325$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…f0fabacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…7b6ebacked Over | 35c | 293$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 37c | 252.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 10c | 246.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…f3a0backed Over | 35c | 242$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 75c | 241.61$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…7cd0backed Under | 65c | 236$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 69c | 220.86$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…b7e2backed Under | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…e63abacked Under | 65c | 189$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…3d8fbacked Under | 65c | 183$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 156.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…2995backed Under | 65c | 153$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 107.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Over | 12c | 107.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 105.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 97.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 30c | 40.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 64c | 16.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 65c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.