Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc856c2f3154729d1abe62c8c468b79efee4cbbb931e1f7761cd03b4d4432b4a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 903.31$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 54c | 660.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.82 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 333$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed No | 48c | 272.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 14c | 231.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 68c | 123.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 54c | 111.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Yes | 52c | 92.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Yes | 52c | 91.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 54c | 89.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Yes | 52c | 88.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 56c | 83.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 83.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 50c | 83.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 83.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 73c | 75.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Yes | 71c | 65.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 53c | 45.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 71c | 43.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…b529backed Yes | 53c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.