Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe661beb1af629e819e28a12012073ad15559b32ec5ba81e099517d139f73ba4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Braunschweigof SC Paderborn 07, Eintracht Braunschweig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,048 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 63c | 3,112$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked SC Paderborn 07 | 42c | 2,010$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.96 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed SC Paderborn 07 | 39c | 738.72$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed SC Paderborn 07 | 3c | 555.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed SC Paderborn 07 | 37c | 377.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked SC Paderborn 07 | 25c | 359.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed SC Paderborn 07 | 33c | 153.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 116.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 54.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Eintracht Braunschweig | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 30.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed SC Paderborn 07 | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…82f7backed SC Paderborn 07 | 43c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…84f4backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…dd1ebacked SC Paderborn 07 | 43c | 25.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…821ebacked Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 58c | 18.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Eintracht Braunschweig | 78c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)this page
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.