Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac1970f2595a0404613a555250542bea1a74f92ca31c04adc57d20347168c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,214 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 5,595$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.38 | 3,288 | 42.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L | -74.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 78c | 1,920$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 1,067$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 872.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 534.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 532$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 80c | 391.95$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 382.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 1,315 | 40.6%534 W · 781 L | -44.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 80c | 271.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…b917backed Over | 79c | 252.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 68c | 224.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 205.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 488 | 58.8%287 W · 201 L | +45.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 167.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 77c | 106.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 62c | 99.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 28c | 90.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 90.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed Under | 20c | 79.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 77c | 63.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Under | 60c | 63.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 48c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 45c | 38.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)SC Paderborn 07 won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.