Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa32c8aaa6c622012ac62a4789f13f6a58d25a01873149c44691e340bab024ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,112$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 37c | 425$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 393.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 308.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 251.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 104.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 102.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 90.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 48.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 47.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.