TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof RED Canids, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA Esports48c10,000$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.781,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports46c10,000$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,643.221,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed FURIA Esports45c8,354$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.8114644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids53c8,280$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports47c5,250$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4751,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids51c5,065$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.651,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports47c5,000$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.9885442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked FURIA Esports39c4,342$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.316237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed RED Canids54c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed RED Canids53c3,827$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.221,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked RED Canids61c3,252$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.7846552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed RED Canids56c2,516$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.041,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked RED Canids51c2,352$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.481,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA Esports54c2,015$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0804151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed RED Canids54c1,803$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.553850%19 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e7…705bbacked RED Canids53c1,737$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.484070%28 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked FURIA Esports51c1,612$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.588359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed FURIA Esports49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68642050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed RED Canids51c1,372$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.281,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed FURIA Esports46c1,334$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.051,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed RED Canids53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked RED Canids68c1,300$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4225358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FURIA Esports47c1,181$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids52c1,100$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA Esports46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed RED Canids53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47013946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed RED Canids52c885$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9539750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c1…ea0dbacked RED Canids77c879.67$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed RED Canids54c822.22$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.221,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed RED Canids68c773.53$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5348353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed RED Canids48c768.46$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.68045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed FURIA Esports52c768.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.616155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked FURIA Esports47c740.42$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked FURIA Esports44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports44c677.85$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.032,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed FURIA Esports3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed FURIA Esports38c599.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22813444%59 W · 75 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked FURIA Esports22c552.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.927919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked RED Canids54c550.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.926245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed FURIA Esports49c515$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3516935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked RED Canids45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed RED Canids52c491.21$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6840347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed RED Canids48c476.92$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25021754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed FURIA Esports56c414.68$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23228042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed RED Canids49c406.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.364156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed FURIA Esports50c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19866445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed FURIA Esports50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7f…c092backed FURIA Esports8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed FURIA Esports45c364.44$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports50c338.27$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.141,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Canids50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15063352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed RED Canids55c267.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6479151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed FURIA Esports49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc30…1de7backed FURIA Esports54c180.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked FURIA Esports56c178.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed FURIA Esports54c172.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked FURIA Esports47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked FURIA Esports49c101.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…d4cdbacked FURIA Esports57c98.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked RED Canids49c97.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked FURIA Esports46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011450.9%58 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed RED Canids57c69.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6911954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked RED Canids50c63.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed FURIA Esports44c56.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.623441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed FURIA Esports56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FURIA Esports44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63b…d7f2backed FURIA Esports47c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66248.3%2 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-84.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA Esports47c48.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e47…0819backed FURIA Esports47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed RED Canids49c42.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.651,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed FURIA Esports49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked FURIA Esports49c38.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.819644.9%88 W · 108 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed FURIA Esports47c38.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe8…7eb8backed FURIA Esports64c37.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32f…f71ebacked FURIA Esports45c35.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked RED Canids54c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.297028.6%20 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfb…54b2backed RED Canids69c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.985459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.