South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x214de636b5d20fb3e35b20edceceba50962ef668e465ec725b9ceb71e397e912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 11,210$7,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.9 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 2,083$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 38c | 999.1$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 685.65$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.82 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 683.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 29c | 679.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 57c | 664.36$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 603.51$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 519.23$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 448.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 352.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 23c | 343.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 29c | 320.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 76c | 237.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 33c | 176.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 42c | 163.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 151.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Over | 66c | 151.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…afb2backed Over | 31c | 148.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 46c | 138.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 71c | 138.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Under | 47c | 130.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 56c | 121.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…a476backed Over | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 52c | 90.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 84.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…b7f6backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 20c | 63.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 47.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…28c6backed Over | 55c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…9255backed Under | 46c | 28.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…93f1backed Over | 56c | 20.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…f343backed Over | 55c | 20.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.