South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ba6522de610708b2d7154b5f27766baa870307023d9096fb7b77a719e252ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 57c | 31,323$17,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,474.26 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 26,475$11,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,459.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 5,152$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.18 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 4,831$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 43c | 3,291$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.95 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 2,984$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.91 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 2,693$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.82 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Under | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 941.67$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.81 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 941.14$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 45c | 913.33$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 26c | 831.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 43c | 813.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 766.38$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 41c | 723.87$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 695.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 30c | 670$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 666.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 72c | 293.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…16ecbacked Under | 72c | 278.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 264.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 44c | 214$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Under | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 42c | 179.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 56c | 114.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 113.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 56c | 112$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 66c | 78.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 76.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 42c | 61.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…2e38backed Under | 75c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 48.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 44c | 42.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…b1ecbacked Under | 76c | 38.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 31.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 57c | 28.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…634abacked Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…f854backed Over | 43c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 63c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 16.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.