South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf020d2d0c23efdab96c702f7345facce9989b98c29d9d92ed8d2207557667085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 5,586$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 54c | 2,878$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.12 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 67c | 2,628$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.38 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 70c | 1,383$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Over | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 66c | 616.2$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 428.06$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 354.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 230.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 200.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 142.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Under | 40c | 124.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 29c | 114.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 29c | 112$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 101.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 41cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 30c | 95.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 31c | 77.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 63c | 76.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 49c | 62.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…2d59backed Under | 44c | 55.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 53.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 49.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 66c | 46.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c496backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 49c | 39.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 39c | 35.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 69c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Over | 72c | 19.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 70c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.