CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685ee475431a0003847f9b0cb8c5d8202d312590de8522b0af7b8d50b91a3af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof ECSTATIC, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ECSTATIC | 44c | 576$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ECSTATIC | 13c | 460.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…17a6backed ECSTATIC | 3c | 343.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ECSTATIC | 65c | 310.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked ECSTATIC | 50c | 220.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 188.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed los kogutos | 50c | 179.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ECSTATIC | 26c | 166.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed los kogutos | 65c | 153.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked los kogutos | 35c | 143.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked ECSTATIC | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked ECSTATIC | 28c | 99.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed los kogutos | 77c | 65.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed los kogutos | 33c | 61.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed los kogutos | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked los kogutos | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked los kogutos | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked los kogutos | 60c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs los kogutos - Map 1 Winnerlos kogutos won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs los kogutos - Map 2 Winnerlos kogutos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.