TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under55c16,939$9,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6373961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c3,212$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.812,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,505$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.725,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c2,322$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.8562652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under14c1,709$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47017753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over60c1,663$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.810228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over41c985.19$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2211931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c958.88$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.527540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over47c590$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5323927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over55c548.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over45c236.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over46c215.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over44c213.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0410650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under56c200.61$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.613063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under11c190$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.82060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over45c168$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over45c168$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.66048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under53c164.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.215035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c149.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under55c111.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over48c97.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.742642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under60c90.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2430750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under45c89.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.313140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over59c86.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.843836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over45c84.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.264744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over39c78.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.759147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.711238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over45c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over45c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.88946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over48c61.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.367723.4%18 W · 59 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ce…418cbacked Over49c53.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c71…5cdbbacked Under39c51.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over46c46.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.586944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c46.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2933452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Over50c44.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209250%46 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182454.2%13 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over48c39.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.792657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over45c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2352…4c5abacked Under58c31.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under34c30.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9969352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c30.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9977056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.526246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe61…4c28backed Over64c23.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c22.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7513855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1597…4a99backed Over51c21.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Under72c15.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.