Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4ee651008de813bde77fe70401c2647001d9a3a9e35d4c5b4d220605f013ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 42c | 4,114$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.32 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 58c | 2,502$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.26 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,555$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.96 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 31c | 932.24$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 892.92$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 710.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 498.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 79c | 410$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 57c | 313.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 51c | 143.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 67c | 125.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 105.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 58c | 86.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 64.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 63.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…f8e1backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 42c | 32.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 29.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 27.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 24.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.