Lol · resolved market
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079b61e31fbb353a07971331679028dd7ea0cfe4e850f519e2ca46ce92454254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof Joblife, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TLN Pirates | 41c | 3,946$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.92 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Joblife | 51c | 3,342$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.1 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Joblife | 53c | 3,030$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.67 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TLN Pirates | 43c | 2,172$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.8 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joblife | 56c | 1,553$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.33 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Joblife | 53c | 1,168$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.93 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…f198backed Joblife | 16c | 1,137$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joblife | 38c | 1,021$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Joblife | 45c | 992.4$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.55 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 44c | 892.77$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.65 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Joblife | 61c | 799.99$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TLN Pirates | 39c | 770$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Joblife | 52c | 683.75$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed TLN Pirates | 53c | 621.33$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Joblife | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Joblife | 49c | 400.01$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Joblife | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Joblife | 59c | 395$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Joblife | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 354.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joblife | 39c | 306.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked TLN Pirates | 57c | 297$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Joblife | 59c | 280.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed TLN Pirates | 42c | 277.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Joblife | 43c | 263.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Joblife | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joblife | 33c | 242$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked TLN Pirates | 40c | 239.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed TLN Pirates | 70c | 227.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Joblife | 12c | 221.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TLN Pirates | 54c | 210.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Joblife | 62c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…f702backed TLN Pirates | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Joblife | 52c | 190.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Joblife | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…c58fbacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 164.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Joblife | 29c | 148.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joblife | 19c | 147.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Joblife | 29c | 140.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Joblife | 55c | 120.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…32fcbacked Joblife | 23c | 107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Joblife | 65c | 98.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…9db1backed Joblife | 33c | 98.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Joblife | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed TLN Pirates | 71c | 95.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Joblife | 33c | 91.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joblife | 52c | 88.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Joblife | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked TLN Pirates | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…5ab7backed Joblife | 55c | 76.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed TLN Pirates | 50c | 63.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…d98abacked Joblife | 29c | 61.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Joblife | 46c | 57.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Joblife | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Joblife | 58c | 46.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Joblife | 55c | 45.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed TLN Pirates | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joblife | 55c | 44.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…6fb3backed Joblife | 46c | 43.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TLN Pirates | 49c | 42.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Joblife | 49c | 41.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Joblife | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked TLN Pirates | 39c | 38.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed TLN Pirates | 37c | 38.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 36.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 35.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Joblife | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked TLN Pirates | 62c | 34.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed TLN Pirates | 44c | 32.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed Joblife | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Joblife | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked TLN Pirates | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Joblife | 54c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed TLN Pirates | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Joblife | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)TLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerJoblife won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerJoblife won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.