Lol · resolved market
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9a6f91fb595cbb2d0f3ab8d989b8c7bc2281977dac4d5117d3a28ff10ca7fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof Joblife, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed TLN Pirates | 62c | 1,931$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.87 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Joblife | 34c | 1,313$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.45 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…f198backed Joblife | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Joblife | 54c | 637.96$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.34 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed TLN Pirates | 46c | 498.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed TLN Pirates | 42c | 477.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Joblife | 57c | 361.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.21 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Joblife | 7c | 340.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…32fcbacked Joblife | 47c | 335$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Joblife | 37c | 322.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Joblife | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed TLN Pirates | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…c58fbacked TLN Pirates | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Joblife | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed TLN Pirates | 66c | 146.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Joblife | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…f702backed TLN Pirates | 57c | 125.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Joblife | 37c | 115$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed TLN Pirates | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed TLN Pirates | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Joblife | 55c | 102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Joblife | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Joblife | 59c | 97.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058c…f497backed Joblife | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Joblife | 56c | 81.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Joblife | 61c | 72.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed TLN Pirates | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Joblife | 36c | 34.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Joblife | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…d98abacked TLN Pirates | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed Joblife | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)TLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerJoblife won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerJoblife won
- LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.