TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x058c…f497

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.1%+$67.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+73%+$11.4
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.61
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.96
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.4%+$59.84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$36.3
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.5%+$20.91
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.9%+$15.8
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45.55
LoL: Galions vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$91.72
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$313.93
LoL: Solary vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.