NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e62dddb18c7d472e830c0ffa44457084388b220a9f5ef1196d08d13a030aaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 47c | 4,693$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.71 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 3,326$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.72 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…fd04backed Under | 55c | 2,852$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Under | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 44c | 1,984$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 56c | 1,984$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 48c | 1,983$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.86 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 1,489$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.09 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,376$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 45c | 860.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.47 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 605.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 557.16$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 454$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 342.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 45c | 327$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 53c | 159.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…d753backed Under | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…9f88backed Under | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 46c | 130.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 112.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…f8e3backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 79.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…e0cdbacked Under | 35c | 76.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 45c | 74.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 77c | 65.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 55c | 56.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 33c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed Over | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…b0cdbacked Under | 55c | 48.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 51c | 35.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Over | 35c | 29.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 64c | 29.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…0ed2backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. PredatorsUtah won
- Utah vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.