NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c514510c1b0312743c9a1b0fc18267ab87c0c46678b9a4c772c6b4546aa5eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 2,639$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.56 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 1,491$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.14 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 1,003$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 792.55$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 443.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 56c | 178.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 11c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 69.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 76c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…d753backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…e4debacked Under | 45c | 24.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. PredatorsUtah won
- Utah vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.