Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x160568320219ae46414265610a3930de01a33e9b04ef43ea41ac56779ca38ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 4c | 7,810$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 2c | 4,074$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 65c | 3,836$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.59 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 47c | 3,060$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.27 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 3,036$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 2,745$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 2,582$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.84 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 35c | 1,256$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.03 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 949.87$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 925.52$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 924$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.54 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 920.64$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 838.78$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Merrimack College Warriors | 54c | 793.01$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 570.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 34c | 541.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 23c | 496.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 44c | 454.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 429.09$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Merrimack College Warriors | 69c | 348.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 34c | 326.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 34c | 289.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 33c | 268.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 37c | 237$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 37c | 236.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Merrimack College Warriors | 63c | 203$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 18c | 141.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 21c | 107.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 106.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 19c | 100.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 89.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…8fcebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 72c | 66.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 32c | 55.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 35c | 37.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 37.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 30.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsthis page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 137.5Over won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 138.5Over won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 139.5Over won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-4.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.