Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5b9c50dea2578f75bc8c23a0a1832dfeb322b7fe863303cf70d7ea1a6921ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 60,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,199.99 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked No | 60c | 16,595$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,594.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 58c | 9,373$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 6,914$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.26 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 73c | 4,136$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.8 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 40c | 3,049$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.62 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,864$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.48 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 1,764$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.99 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 31c | 1,250$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.96 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…2f00backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,102$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,094$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 854$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 36c | 595.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 60c | 562.92$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 58c | 517.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 39c | 438.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 36c | 431.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 41c | 415.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 260.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 37c | 247.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 43c | 233.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 189.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 157.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 26c | 146.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 133.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 41c | 131$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 39c | 120.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 82.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 62c | 77.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…ccefbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 24c | 49.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed No | 60c | 48.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 38.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Yes | 37c | 35.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 42c | 31.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 40c | 25.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed No | 60c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 60c | 17.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 61c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.