TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes38c22,214$8,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,838.0213933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No61c19,980$12,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,187.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c8,913$5,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,128.9298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c6,982$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.5428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c6,507$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.2646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes16c4,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.9112055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c3,986$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.7947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No60c2,413$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.6422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes56c1,650$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.094845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c1,168$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5433444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes30c671.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.145933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes23c563.17$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.641637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…4b56backed Yes38c561$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No65c555.03$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.183250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x830e…1f8fbacked Yes75c532.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes25c502.19$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+297.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No67c459.13$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Yes56c458.93$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No73c455.26$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.411063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No62c454.28$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked No62c424.07$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No71c386.27$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No69c385.18$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0912532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+73.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5585…dd3ebacked No10c297.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No62c280$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.611858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes37c270.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Yes56c269.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.168050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes38c261.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c238.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes47c216.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.564242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes48c215.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.384946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes56c206.11$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e6…a857backed Yes36c202.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No76c200$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1662917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+84.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…6db6backed Yes37c193.6$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes36c192.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3678…f584backed Yes50c190$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes40c189.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.771250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes30c187.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.216373%46 W · 17 L+19.0wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Yes52c172.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes39c162$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.821546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No35c157.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.39431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes27c156.66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8412156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed No61c156$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes39c154.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.916126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes38c144.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.541855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes39c137$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed No66c133.83$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Yes39c129$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+52.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55c7…e6abbacked Yes19c121.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+439.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No62c116.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0211750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes10c115.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1850%4 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+191.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes39c109$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes40c108.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.377631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes21c108.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes39c105$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.051080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+73.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11bf…80c9backed Yes37c103.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes20c101.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.581827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No64c93.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5419345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes57c92.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.985945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked No44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc09…65e2backed No45c89.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes34c87.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.088247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes39c81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes18c77.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes31c77.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.42540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes29c74.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes35c74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No65c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.34852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed No26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87a…410bbacked Yes42c69.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes36c68.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.652133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No64c60.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.572433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Yes41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes35c56.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8911351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes37c54.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.084634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…c558backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed No61c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes39c43.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed No61c43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed No61c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…cce7backed No73c39.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes41c39.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Yes39c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked No61c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked No61c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked No61c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.