Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117336c8a8336a5ce3e87790a08d3fd669a41e8408c4009427906923e75f8fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 61c | 3,696$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,936$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.43 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 1,685$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.66 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 1,127$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.39 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 1,105$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 865.53$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.85 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 66c | 862.54$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 62c | 699.97$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 41c | 611.71$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 38c | 344.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 340.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 60c | 314.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 305$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 303.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 300.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…4175backed No | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Yes | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 39c | 170.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 34c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 132.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 126.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 75c | 119.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 107.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…efb2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 63c | 90.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 36c | 81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 61c | 58.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked No | 63c | 54.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 51c | 54.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 64c | 47.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 45.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 23.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.