Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1efa37cfd5d30cb6050b65ecb9e6482c563cfbcec74f2e544a48f4eb61a89e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,099$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 1,056$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.99 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 969.8$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 600$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.1 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 483.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 428.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 47c | 426.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 46c | 284.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 160.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 64c | 142.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 46c | 108.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 33c | 71.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +99%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Yes | 32c | 53.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…daf1backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 40.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 33.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…6aa2backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…1b92backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…4ae1backed Yes | 45c | 24.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 55c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.